What does the Electoral College landscape look like?
|
State |
Delegates |
Current Poll Averages |
Shift in October in % Points |
|
Florida |
29 |
Romney +1 |
Romney +3.5 |
|
Pennsylvania |
20 |
Obama +4 |
Romney +4 |
|
Ohio |
18 |
Obama +1 |
Romney +7 |
|
Michigan |
16 |
Obama +6 |
Romney +9 |
|
North Carolina |
15 |
Romney +3 |
Romney +6 |
|
Virginia |
13 |
Tie |
Romney +5 |
|
Missouri |
10 |
Romney +5 |
No Change |
|
Wisconsin |
10 |
Obama +5 |
Romney +9 |
|
Colorado |
9 |
Romney +0.5 |
Romney +3.5 |
|
Iowa |
6 |
Obama +3 |
Romney +2 |
|
Nevada |
6 |
Obama +1 |
Romney +3 |
|
New Hampshire |
4 |
Obama +4.5 |
Romney +6 |
|
TOTAL DELEGATES |
156 (270 needed to win) |
Likely/Lean Obama (all states): |
Likely/Lean Romney (all states): 181 (89 to go) |
What does the Electoral College landscape look like? In 12 states where polling indicates Obama and Romney are very close, Romney has seen significant gains this month, mostly seen after his strong debate performance last week. The rightmost column indicates the number of percentage points by which a poll shifted, comparing polling averages from earlier in the month with the most recent individual polls. Counting all states, not just ones in the table, Obama has 217 electoral votes that are very or somewhat likely, compared to Romney’s 181. (Data from RealClearPolitics.com, a polling aggregator and news site. Data was current as of Wednesday, Oct. 10, due to The Tech’s publication schedule.)